Ra’yiga Dadweynaha Iyo Ka Taageerayaasha
Istaraatajiyada Siyaasadu cadow iyo saaxibna ma leh ee dan baa hagta. Somalilandna dan baa ugu jirta in Xisbiga KULMIYE ku guulaysto doorashada Maxaxtooyada (Hadii eebe idmo). Laakiin Xisbigii kacaa kuf baa ku yimid. Bal aynu isku dayno inaynu fahano loolanka siyaasadeed ee garabyada xisbiga. Nidaamka siyaasadeed ee dimoqradiga ah waxaa hab dhaqan u ah talo-wadaag iyo isu tanaasul (Consensus & Compromise). Siyaasiga istaraatajiyadan ku dhaqmay ee markii uu balan qaad helay (in Ra’iisul Wasaare la sameeyo) tanaasulay waa Ahmed X. Cali Cadami. Ha ilaabin in uu Mudane Cadami dhaawac gaadhsiiyey KULMIYE ka dib markii uu dhaleeceeyey habkii shirkii Golaha Dhexe ee Burco loo maamulay (Waxaa dhacay wax akhlaaqiyaadka dimoqradiya ka baxsan” Mr. Cadami, BBC, August 26, 2008).
Falanqayn, hirdan iyo dood kadib haddii aanay garabyada loolamayaa isu tanaasulin waxa dhacda in Xisbigu guul gaadhi waayo.
Tartanka siyaasadeed ee nidaamka dimoqradiyada waxaa lagu xushaa is bar bar-dhiga musharaxiinta iyadoo lagu qiimaynayo (1) miisaankooda siyaasadeed, (2) aqoontooda, (3) taariikhdooda iyo (4) degaanka ay ka soo jeedaan.
Bal hoos ka daalaco is bar bar-dhiga Silanyo, Saylici iyo Muj. C/Raxman Aw Cali.
| Deegaanka | Taariikhda | Aqoonta | Miisaanka Siyaasadeed | ||
| Togdheer | Mujaahid | Mutacalim | Siyaasi ruug cadaa ah | Silanyo | |
| Awdal | Nin aan soo halgamin | Farsamo-yaqaan | Nin siyaasada ku cusub | Saylici | |
| Awdal | Mujaahid | Sarkaal Milatari | Siyaasi Miisaan leh | C/raxman | |
Shaxdani waxay daliil u tahay in Silanyo iyo C/Raxman Aw Cali wadaagaan laba sifo (Miisaanka siyaasada iyo Taarkiikhda). Halka Saylici & C/Raxman wadaagaan sifo keliya (Labaduba waa reer Awdal). Laakiin Silanyo & Saylici sifoba ma wadaagaan! Haddaba muxuu Silanyo u Xushay Saylici? Silanyo iyo Saylici waxay kala matalaan laba waxood (Political Constituencies) oo reer Somaliland ah. Halka Silanyo iyo C/Raxman ay matalaan waax keliye. Macnawiyan Labada mujaahid way isu dhigmaan. Shirkii Burco ee Golaha Dhexe ee KULMIYE muu ahayn oo keliya tartan Madaxweyne iyo Ku-xigeen ee laba Mujaahid oo labaduba Madaxweyne u dhigmaan baa ku hirdamay. Kii guulaystay baana xaq u leh in uu xusho Ku-xigeenkiisa. Shaqada Ku-xigeenku waa inu dheeli tiro Miisaanka Musharax Madaxweynaha.
Laba tusaale oo Xisbiga Dimoqradiga ah ee Maraykanka ka dhacay aan soo bandhigo.
1992: Clinton wuxuu Ku-xigeenkiisa u xushay Al Gore oo ay isku da’ ahaayeen (Labaduba 45 jir), Laba Gobol oo koonfurta ku yaala oo isku xigana ay u kala dhasheen (Arkansas & Tennessee).
Waayo?
Clinton wuxuu rabay inuu xisbigiisa mideeyo, gobollada koonfurtana ka fara maroojiyo Xisbiga Jamhuuriga oo gobollada awood ku lahaa (Republican Strongholds).
2008: Barack Obama wuxuu xushay Senator Joe Biden oo laga soo doorto gobol yar oo la yidhaahdo Delaware.
Waayo?
Senator Biden waa ninka keliya ee ka kaabi kara Barack sifadda keliya ee lagu saluugay (Nin Siyaasad ku cusub oo aan khibrad lahayn). Senator Biden waa Gudoomiyaha Guddiga Arrimaha Dibbeda ee Golaha Senatka. Xasuusnow Obama muu xulan Senator John Edwards (Hore ayaa loogu sharaxay Ku-xigeenkii Senator Kerry 2004, guulna muu keenin). Muu dooran Senator Hillary Clinton (Way la tartantay isumana calool fayooba). Ha ilaabin laakiin in labada Senatorba hiil iyo hooba la barbar-taagan yihiin Obama si uu ugu guulaysto doorashada Madaxtooyada (Haddii Eebe yidhaahdo).
Istiraatajiyada siyaasadu waa inay guul keentaa. Xulashada Silanyo ee Saylici waxay fariin u diraysaa reer Awdal oo waxay leedahay waa la isa saamaxay ee I doorta. Silanyana dhab bay ka tahay inuu balaadhiyo taageerayaashiisa. Waxayna jawaab u tahay eedayntii Silanyo loo jeediyey ka dib markii 2003 ay Xisbiga KULMIYE ku biireen Mujaahidiinta kala ah:
(1) C/Rahman Aw Cali Farah
(2) Ibraahim Cabdillaahi (Dhegaweyne)
(3) Maxamed Kahin Axmed.
Xil: Cumar Nuur Cisman (Aare) wuxuu yidhi: “KULMIYE waa ciidan doon ee cod doon ma ah”. Maanta Silanyo waa cod doon guulna wuu u diyaar garoobay. Ilaahay hala qabto.
Waxaa Qoray: Prof: Abdihakim Y. Kheire
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Kulmiye Split may be a drop in the Ocean when UDUB congress comes:
The hot debated and peacefully contested leadership within the Kulmiye Party should reflect the level of political maturity and inter-party discipline acquired by this party after the marginal loss of the Presidency.
As the veteran Somaliland politician, Abdulkadir Jirde put it; the demise of Kulmiye will be a severe blow to Somaliland democratic process. As an UDUB senior leader, Mr. Jirde sincerely admits that Kulmiye harbors the intelligentsia and political elite of Somaliland.
May I add to this, most of the Kulmiye members I know believe as the principle of late Kennedy; “First think what you can do for your country, before you ask what your country can do for you!”. And this should be the cornerstone of a caring political party few points underlining Kulmiye political maturity:
- Accepted defeat in the presidential election by the slightest margin of all elections worldwide.
- They tolerated and lived under illegal emergency law.
- They gave in to any government provocative, confrontational tactics in the interest of the country stability and peace.
- They accepted the extension of President’s term.
- The current split with in party after the congress and heated contested on party’s leadership is another good sign of democratic maturity. The players of current drama are aligned neither in tribal nor regional lines, but on the basis of party ideology and the mechanism of the anticipated good governance. At the same time not joining another party as the usual mode of Somali party politics. The end game of the current party drama cannot be easily predicted, but the winners will be a will for Somaliland.
On the other side of the aisle, some UDUB leaders may be jubilant on Kulmiye inter-strive. I call those as either political amateurs or evil-minded folks who cannot foresee the negative back-lash of such events not only to the state, but also to their party.
UDUB as ruling party has functioned as authoritarian and executive party and did not develop the infrastructure and institutions necessary for political party and did not practice, much needed political debates, did not stage leadership contests, did not acquire the political tolerance which is cornerstone of Democratic Party.
I know many disgruntled Udub senior leaders who are already uneasy on the upcoming Udub congress. They doubt whether their voice will be heard and the leadership contest of party will not be democratic or transparent.
The most difficult questions for all Somalilanders will be:
- Will Udub congress and leadership contest be more lively, democratic and transparent than Kulmiye.
- Or dormant political divisions within Udub will erupt as a political volcano and the current Kulmiye split would like as a drop in the ocean.
Axmed Siciid,
Hargeysa.